Market Intelligence
Macro Overview
Today's Primary Signal
Mixed tape — S&P 500 -0.42%, sector dispersion widening.
- XLE +1.42% and XLU +0.62% lead while XLY -1.08% lags.
- 10Y yield at 4.38% keeps pressure on long-duration growth; Nasdaq -0.61%.
- Volatility moderate with VIX at 22.4; sector breadth 36% positive.
Equities
S&P 500
5,847.32
-0.42%
Nasdaq
18,421.78
-0.61%
Russell 2000
2,284.5
-1.12%
Bonds
US 10Y Yield
4.38%
US 2Y Yield
4.71%
Yield CurveInverted
Commodities & FX
Gold
$2658.40
WTI Oil
$71.22
DXY
106.85
Sector × Timeframe Returns Heatmap
| Sector | 1D | 1W | 1M | 3M |
|---|---|---|---|---|
XLKTechnology | -0.84% | -1.45% | -2.50% | -3.38% |
XLVHealthcare | +0.31% | -0.01% | +0.38% | +1.79% |
XLFFinancials | -0.55% | -1.09% | -1.77% | -2.08% |
XLEEnergy | +1.42% | +1.38% | +3.15% | +6.79% |
XLYConsumer Discretionary | -1.08% | -1.75% | -3.10% | -4.46% |
XLPConsumer Staples | +0.48% | +0.20% | +0.80% | +2.56% |
XLIIndustrials | -0.22% | -0.68% | -0.95% | -0.59% |
XLBMaterials | -0.71% | -1.29% | -2.17% | -2.79% |
XLREReal Estate | -0.94% | -1.57% | -2.75% | -3.83% |
XLUUtilities | +0.62% | +0.38% | +1.15% | +3.19% |
XLCCommunication Services | -0.39% | -0.89% | -1.38% | -1.35% |
AI Macro Interpretation
The market showed mixed action today with S&P 500 -0.42%. The 10-year Treasury yield at 4.38% continues to pressure equity valuations. Volatility is moderate with VIX at 18.4, suggesting a balanced stance.
What this means for you: stay selective and align exposure with the prevailing regime.
Showing live-data summary.
Macro Deep Dive
Interest Rate Impact by Asset Class
| Asset | +25bps | −25bps |
|---|---|---|
| Equities | −0.8% | +1.2% |
| Bonds (Agg) | −1.4% | +1.6% |
| REITs | −2.1% | +2.4% |
| Gold | −0.6% | +0.9% |
Dollar Strength Playbook
When DXY rises 2%+: Winners — Domestic small caps, Regional banks, Consumer staples. Losers — Multinational tech, Materials, EM equities.
Inflation Regime Analysis
Current regime: Disinflationary (3.2% CPI, falling). Historical winners in this regime: Tech (+14%/yr avg), Discretionary (+11%), Healthcare (+9%).
Unlock deep macro analysis with Plus — understand how rates, dollar, and inflation affect your holdings.
Today's Key Events
- BearishFed officials signal patience on rate cuts as inflation remains sticky
- BullishNVIDIA beats Q3 estimates; data center revenue jumps 94% YoY
- NeutralCrude oil climbs 2.1% on renewed Middle East supply concerns
- BullishInitial jobless claims tick lower, underscoring labor market resilience
AI Market Scenarios
Scenario: Fed cuts 50bps next meeting
Historically: Utilities +8%, REITs +11%, Growth outperforms Value by 3.4%, Small caps +6.2%, Dollar weakens 1.8%.
Try it
Model any macro scenario with AI — see historical sector impacts with Plus.
Ask about the market