Macro Overview
- Equities.
S&P 500 down 0.42% today.
- Bonds.
10Y yield at 4.38%.
- Volatility.
VIX at 22.4.
- XLE +1.42% and XLU +0.62% lead while XLY -1.08% lags.
- 10Y yield at 4.38% keeps pressure on long-duration growth; Nasdaq -0.61%.
- Volatility moderate with VIX at 22.4; sector breadth 36% positive.
| Sector | 1D | 1W | 1M | 3M |
|---|---|---|---|---|
XLKTechnology | -0.84% | -1.45% | -2.50% | -3.38% |
XLVHealthcare | +0.31% | -0.01% | +0.38% | +1.79% |
XLFFinancials | -0.55% | -1.09% | -1.77% | -2.08% |
XLEEnergy | +1.42% | +1.38% | +3.15% | +6.79% |
XLYConsumer Discretionary | -1.08% | -1.75% | -3.10% | -4.46% |
XLPConsumer Staples | +0.48% | +0.20% | +0.80% | +2.56% |
XLIIndustrials | -0.22% | -0.68% | -0.95% | -0.59% |
XLBMaterials | -0.71% | -1.29% | -2.17% | -2.79% |
XLREReal Estate | -0.94% | -1.57% | -2.75% | -3.83% |
XLUUtilities | +0.62% | +0.38% | +1.15% | +3.19% |
XLCCommunication Services | -0.39% | -0.89% | -1.38% | -1.35% |
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change | Signal | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XLKETF | Technology | … | — | 0 | Watch |
XLVETF | Healthcare | … | — | 0 | Watch |
XLFETF | Financials | … | — | 0 | Watch |
XLEETF | Energy | … | — | 0 | Watch |
XLYETF | Consumer Discretionary | … | — | 0 | Watch |
XLPETF | Consumer Staples | … | — | 0 | Watch |
XLIETF | Industrials | … | — | 0 | Watch |
XLBETF | Materials | … | — | 0 | Watch |
XLREETF | Real Estate | … | — | 0 | Watch |
XLUETF | Utilities | … | — | 0 | Watch |
XLCETF | Communication Services | … | — | 0 | Watch |
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change | Signal | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NVDAEQ | NVIDIA Corp. | … | — | 0 | Watch |
METAEQ | Meta Platforms | … | — | 0 | Watch |
AVGOEQ | Broadcom Inc. | … | — | 0 | Watch |
AAPLEQ | Apple Inc. | … | — | 0 | Watch |
MSFTEQ | Microsoft Corp. | … | — | 0 | Watch |
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change | Signal | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JPMEQ | JPMorgan Chase | … | — | 0 | Watch |
BACEQ | Bank of America | … | — | 0 | Watch |
VEQ | Visa Inc. | … | — | 0 | Watch |
JNJEQ | Johnson & Johnson | … | — | 0 | Watch |
UNHEQ | UnitedHealth Group | … | — | 0 | Watch |
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change | Signal | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JNJEQ | Johnson & Johnson | … | — | 0 | Watch |
KOEQ | Coca-Cola Co. | … | — | 0 | Watch |
PGEQ | Procter & Gamble | … | — | 0 | Watch |
WMTEQ | Walmart Inc. | … | — | 0 | Watch |
PEPEQ | PepsiCo Inc. | … | — | 0 | Watch |
Signal strength combines daily move with VIX; risk state blends VIX and price magnitude (Low / Watch / High). For research use only.
The market showed mixed action today with S&P 500 -0.42%. The 10-year Treasury yield at 4.38% continues to pressure equity valuations. Volatility is moderate with VIX at 18.4, suggesting a balanced stance.
What this means for you: stay selective and align exposure with the prevailing regime.
| Asset | +25bps | −25bps |
|---|---|---|
| Equities | −0.8% | +1.2% |
| Bonds (Agg) | −1.4% | +1.6% |
| REITs | −2.1% | +2.4% |
| Gold | −0.6% | +0.9% |
When DXY rises 2%+: Winners — Domestic small caps, Regional banks, Consumer staples. Losers — Multinational tech, Materials, EM equities.
Current regime: Disinflationary (3.2% CPI, falling). Historical winners in this regime: Tech (+14%/yr avg), Discretionary (+11%), Healthcare (+9%).
Historically: Utilities +8%, REITs +11%, Growth outperforms Value by 3.4%, Small caps +6.2%, Dollar weakens 1.8%.